The Texas A&M Aggies will try to snap their six-game losing streak when they face the UMass Minutemen on Saturday afternoon. Texas A&M entered the season with College Football Playoff hopes, but it will now be missing out on bowl season altogether. UMass has only recorded one win all year and is coming off a narrow loss to Arkansas State.
Kickoff is set for noon ET. The Aggies are favored by 33.5 points in the latest Texas A&M vs. Massachusetts odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 47.5. Before entering any UMass vs. Texas A&M picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. UMass. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for UMass vs. Texas A&M.
Why Texas A&M can cover
Texas A&M might be on a lengthy losing streak, but it has been within single digits in four of those losses. The Aggies are also playing a much easier opponent this week and they blew out Sam Houston State in a 31-0 final to open the season. They have plenty of motivation to run up the score on Saturday afternoon after what has been a frustrating campaign.
UMass is one of the worst teams in college football again this year, losing seven of its games by double digits. The Minutemen are also playing the final game of a three-game road trip, so fatigue could be an issue. Texas A&M is 14-4 in its last 18 home games and will be taking advantage of this scheduling spot.
Why UMass can cover
Texas A&M has been one of the most disappointing teams in the country this season, losing six straight games against SEC opponents. The Aggies have already been eliminated from contention for a bowl game, leaving them without much motivation for their final two games. They are also dealing with a plethora of key injuries, including at the quarterback, running back and wide receiver positions.
UMass is coming off one of its best performances of the season, easily covering the 17.5-point spread in its 35-33 loss to Arkansas State. The Minutemen have only lost one game by 33-plus points, so they have been playing competitive games. They have been consistently undervalued against SEC teams, covering the spread in eight straight games against SEC opponents.
How to make UMass vs. Texas A&M picks
The model has simulated Texas A&M vs. Massachusetts 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
What to Know
The Massachusetts Minutemen will hit the road for the third straight week as they head to Kyle Field at noon ET on Saturday. Both teams are out to turn their luck around after having lost tight contests in their previous games.
The Minutemen were close but no cigar last week as they fell 35-33 to the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Despite the loss, UMass got a solid performance out of RB Ellis Merriweather, who rushed for two TDs and 122 yards on 29 carries.
Speaking of close games: it was close but no cigar for the Texas A&M Aggies as they fell 13-10 to the Auburn Tigers last week. QB Conner Weigman had a pretty forgettable game, fumbling the ball once with only 121 yards passing.
UMass is the clear underdog, so they’re hoping it’s the size of the fight that determines this one. Those betting on them against the spread shouldn’t have high expectations for them since the team is 2-4 ATS when expected to lose.
UMass is now 1-9 while A&M sits at 3-7. A couple defensive numbers to keep in mind before kickoff: UMass enters the contest with only 184.5 passing yards allowed per game on average, good for 18th best in the nation. But the Aggies are even better: they rank seventh in the nation when it comes to passing yards allowed per game, with only 162.2 on average. We’ll see if that edge gives A&M a route to victory.
How To Watch
When: Saturday at 12 p.m. ET
Where: Kyle Field — College Station, Texas
TV: ESPN Plus
Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.
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