RB Leipzig welcomes Manchester City to Red Bull Arena Leipzig on Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS SPorts Network). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City attempt to slow down a hot opponent when they visit RB Leipzig in the first leg of their 2022-23 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup on Wednesday. Manchester City, who reached the final for the first time in 2021, went 4-2-0 to finish atop their group. RB Leipzig lost their first two group stage contests but reeled off four consecutive victories to advance to the knockout phase.
Kickoff at Red Bull Arena is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The Citizens are the -122 favorites (risk $122 to win $100) in the latest Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Red Bulls are +325 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +260 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green has to say.
European play is finally back in action after three months on the sideline, and UCL title hopefuls City again look for Pep Guardiola’s first European crown at the club.
RB Leipzig vs Man City odds
Manchester City are favourites on the road, as one might imagine considering their status as the betting favourites of the entire competition, but it might not be by as much as one might expect. The setting away from home plays a part, as does Man City’s recent form, which has been inconsistent at best. They sit on minus moneyline odds but only just, with RB Leipzig at around 7/2.
The 25-year-old Nkunku, who returned to action in the Red Bulls’ victory against Wolfsburg on Saturday after missing three months with a knee injury, is second in the Bundesliga with 12 goals. Timo Werner is the only other member of the club with multiple goals in the Champions League as he has scored twice while adding a pair of assists. The 26-year-old striker is Leipzig’s second-leading scorer in league play with five goals after recording only four with Chelsea of the Premier League last season.
How to make RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City picks
Green has broken down the UEFA Champions League match from every angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has locked three other best bets for the matchup. You can only see his UEFA Champions League picks and analysis at SportsLine.
Man City Face Historic Struggle in Champions League
As good as the Cityzens are, we’ve seen time and time again that manager Pep Guardiola will opt for a more conservative approach in the Champions League.
He’s willing to sacrifice some win probability to make sure his side isn’t vulnerable on the counterattack. Manchester City may have Erling Haaland, but there is still a decline in the production and shot numbers of their wide forwards around him. The attack has dropped from 2.5 xG per match last season down to about 2.1 per match.
Their numbers are still elite, but the attack is more centrally focused and more prone to variance impacting their matches. City are dropping more points domestically and also didn’t exactly dominate Borussia Dortmund back in the CL group stage. In two matches against Dortmund, City produced a total of 2.2 xG and conceded 1.9 xGA.
Considering that I have Dortmund power rated worse than Leipzig and Dortmund is generally worse out of possession than Leipzig, that makes Wednesday an interesting battle.
Guardiola has done a bunch of tinkering and tried a back three on multiple occasions. The clear weakness to this approach is the wide areas in transition and Leipzig have the pace and talent to exploit this weakness. Guardiola is more likely to take the cautious approach and take away Leipzig counters at all costs.
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